How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Congo DR, at 68.3%. The other outcomes represent 31.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.3% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 12%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Congo DR 1713; Uganda 1557. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Congo DR
Elo 1713
vs
Uganda
Elo 1557
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+156
Elo rating comparison
Congo DR1713
Uganda1557
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Congo DR
—Draws
—Uganda
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
68%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
40%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.