How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kahraba Ismailia, at 73.8%. The other outcomes represent 26.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 73.8% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 8.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kahraba Ismailia 1641; Mega Sport 1479. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:30
Kahraba Ismailia
Elo 1641
vs
Mega Sport
Elo 1479
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+162
Elo rating comparison
Kahraba Ismailia1641
Mega Sport1479
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kahraba Ismailia
—Draws
—Mega Sport
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
Home
74%
Draw
18%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
39%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.