How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Persiraja Banda Aceh, at 47.4%. The other outcomes represent 52.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.4% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 24.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Persiraja Banda Aceh 1556; Sumsel United 1505. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 2 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 13:30
Persiraja Banda Aceh
Elo 1556
vs
Sumsel United
Elo 1505
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+51
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Persiraja Banda Aceh1556
Sumsel United1505
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Persiraja Banda Aceh
0Draws
0Sumsel United
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
28%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
37%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.