How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tyumen, at 38.7%. The other outcomes represent 61.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.7% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 38.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tyumen 1605; Zenit 2 1672. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League A - Division A Silver · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Tyumen
Elo 1605
vs
Zenit 2
Elo 1672
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-67
H2H (8)
0H
6D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Tyumen1605
Zenit 21672
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tyumen
6Draws
2Zenit 2
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
23%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
41%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.