How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PK-35 Vantaa W, at 45.5%. The other outcomes represent 54.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.5% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 31.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: PK-35 Vantaa W 1537; Honka W 1553. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Kansallinen Liiga · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 16:00
PK-35 Vantaa W
Elo 1537
vs
Honka W
Elo 1553
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-16
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
PK-35 Vantaa W1537
Honka W1553
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0PK-35 Vantaa W
0Draws
4Honka W
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
42%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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