How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lilla Torg, at 43.9%. The other outcomes represent 56.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.9% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 32%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lilla Torg 1476; Nosaby 1490. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Södra Götaland · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 17:00
Lilla Torg
Elo 1476
vs
Nosaby
Elo 1490
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-14
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lilla Torg1476
Nosaby1490
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Lilla Torg
2Draws
0Nosaby
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
35%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.