How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Smedby, at 40.0%. The other outcomes represent 60.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 35.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Smedby 1552; Nyköping 1572. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 17:00
Smedby
Elo 1552
vs
Nyköping
Elo 1572
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-20
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Smedby1552
Nyköping1572
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Smedby
0Draws
0Nyköping
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
24%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
39%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.