How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Argentina, at 80.4%. The other outcomes represent 19.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 80.4% · Draw: 12.9% · Away win: 6.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Argentina 1971; Bolivia 1476. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 00:00
Argentina
Elo 1971
vs
Bolivia
Elo 1476
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+495
Elo rating comparison
Argentina1971
Bolivia1476
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Argentina
—Draws
—Bolivia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
Home
80%
Draw
13%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
31%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.