How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Uzbekistan, at 59.5%. The other outcomes represent 40.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.5% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 14.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Uzbekistan 1742; Syria 1574. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 14:00
Uzbekistan
Elo 1742
vs
Syria
Elo 1574
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+168
Elo rating comparison
Uzbekistan1742
Syria1574
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Uzbekistan
—Draws
—Syria
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
Home
59%
Draw
26%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
48%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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