Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W

NWSL Women · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 · 00:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Orlando Pride W, at 38.4%. The other outcomes represent 61.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 38.4% · Draw: 26.9% · Away win: 34.8%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Orlando Pride W 1517; San Diego Wave W 1608. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

NWSL Women · Saturday, Oct 3 2026 · 00:00
Orlando Pride W
Elo 1517
vs
San Diego Wave W
Elo 1608
Home Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Away Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Elo Advantage
-91
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Orlando Pride W1517
San Diego Wave W1608

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2Orlando Pride W
0Draws
0San Diego Wave W

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
27%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
43%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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