How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Santiago, at 62.5%. The other outcomes represent 37.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.5% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 16.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Santiago 1657; Guerreros 1482. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Premier Serie A · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 23:00
FC Santiago
Elo 1657
vs
Guerreros
Elo 1482
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+175
Elo rating comparison
FC Santiago1657
Guerreros1482
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Santiago
—Draws
—Guerreros
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
35%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.