How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barbados, at 41.6%. The other outcomes represent 58.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.6% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 38.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barbados 1309; Bermuda 1365. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 00:00
Barbados
Elo 1309
vs
Bermuda
Elo 1365
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-56
Elo rating comparison
Barbados1309
Bermuda1365
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Barbados
—Draws
—Bermuda
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
20%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
34%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.