How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bonaire, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.2% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 35.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bonaire 1309; Grenada 1346. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 00:00
Bonaire
Elo 1309
vs
Grenada
Elo 1346
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-38
Elo rating comparison
Bonaire1309
Grenada1346
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bonaire
—Draws
—Grenada
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
22%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
32%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.