How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Honduras, at 68.1%. The other outcomes represent 31.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 15.1% · Draw: 16.8% · Away win: 68.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Martinique 1456; Honduras 1609. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 00:00
Martinique
Elo 1456
vs
Honduras
Elo 1609
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-153
Elo rating comparison
Martinique1456
Honduras1609
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Martinique
—Draws
—Honduras
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
15%
Draw
17%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
Home
17%
Draw
26%
Away
57%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.