How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Cali, at 61.0%. The other outcomes represent 39.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 15.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo Cali 1706; Alianza Valledupar 1541. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 00:45
Deportivo Cali
Elo 1706
vs
Alianza Valledupar
Elo 1541
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+165
H2H (4)
2H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo Cali1706
Alianza Valledupar1541
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Deportivo Cali
0Draws
2Alianza Valledupar
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
Home
61%
Draw
24%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
52%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.