How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Correcaminos Uat, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.7% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 31.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Correcaminos Uat 1427; Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1599. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 01:00
Correcaminos Uat
Elo 1427
vs
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Elo 1599
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-172
Elo rating comparison
Correcaminos Uat1427
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1599
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Correcaminos Uat
—Draws
—Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
28%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
42%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.