How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tigres UANL W, at 67.1%. The other outcomes represent 32.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.2% · Draw: 14.7% · Away win: 67.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pumas UNAM W 1521; Tigres UANL W 1847. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX Femenil · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 01:00
Pumas UNAM W
Elo 1521
vs
Tigres UANL W
Elo 1847
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-325
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Pumas UNAM W1521
Tigres UANL W1847
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Pumas UNAM W
0Draws
2Tigres UANL W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
15%
Away
67%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
35%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.