How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Auckland FC 2, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.4% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 42%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Miramar 1508; Auckland FC 2 1699. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League - National · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 01:00
Miramar
Elo 1508
vs
Auckland FC 2
Elo 1699
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-192
Elo rating comparison
Miramar1508
Auckland FC 21699
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Miramar
—Draws
—Auckland FC 2
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
24%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
40%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.