How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jamaica, at 56.9%. The other outcomes represent 43.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.7% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 56.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: El Salvador 1506; Jamaica 1684. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 02:00
El Salvador
Elo 1506
vs
Jamaica
Elo 1684
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-178
Elo rating comparison
El Salvador1506
Jamaica1684
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—El Salvador
—Draws
—Jamaica
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
23%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
38%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.