How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is América W, at 49.2%. The other outcomes represent 50.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.4% · Draw: 17.4% · Away win: 49.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Monterrey W 1739; América W 1899. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX Femenil · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 03:00
Monterrey W
Elo 1739
vs
América W
Elo 1899
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-160
H2H (6)
2H
1D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Monterrey W1739
América W1899
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Monterrey W
1Draws
3América W
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
17%
Away
49%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
37%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.