How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nara Club, at 41.3%. The other outcomes represent 58.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.4% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 41.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Parceiro Nagano 1345; Nara Club 1459. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J3 League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 05:00
Parceiro Nagano
Elo 1345
vs
Nara Club
Elo 1459
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-114
Elo rating comparison
Parceiro Nagano1345
Nara Club1459
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Parceiro Nagano
—Draws
—Nara Club
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
23%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
47%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.