How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Matsumoto Yamaga, at 43.4%. The other outcomes represent 56.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.4% · Draw: 26.9% · Away win: 29.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Matsumoto Yamaga 1481; Gainare Tottori 1479. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J3 League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 05:00
Matsumoto Yamaga
Elo 1481
vs
Gainare Tottori
Elo 1479
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+2
Elo rating comparison
Matsumoto Yamaga1481
Gainare Tottori1479
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Matsumoto Yamaga
—Draws
—Gainare Tottori
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
27%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
41%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.