How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Siheung Citizen, at 61.5%. The other outcomes represent 38.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.8% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 61.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ulsan Citizen 1461; Siheung Citizen 1710. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
K3 League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:00
Ulsan Citizen
Elo 1461
vs
Siheung Citizen
Elo 1710
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-249
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Ulsan Citizen1461
Siheung Citizen1710
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ulsan Citizen
0Draws
2Siheung Citizen
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
21%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
17%
Draw
43%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.