How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kitakyushu, at 53.9%. The other outcomes represent 46.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.9% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 21.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kitakyushu 1448; Kochi United 1371. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J3 League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:00
Kitakyushu
Elo 1448
vs
Kochi United
Elo 1371
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+77
Elo rating comparison
Kitakyushu1448
Kochi United1371
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kitakyushu
—Draws
—Kochi United
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
25%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
41%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.