How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tochigi City, at 54.5%. The other outcomes represent 45.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.5% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 22.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tochigi City 1572; Imabari 1448. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:00
Tochigi City
Elo 1572
vs
Imabari
Elo 1448
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+124
Elo rating comparison
Tochigi City1572
Imabari1448
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tochigi City
—Draws
—Imabari
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
@ 1.81
Draw
23%
@ 3.70
Away
23%
@ 3.54
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
@ 1.53
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
@ 1.22
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
@ 2.35
Draw
34%
@ 2.36
Away
22%
@ 3.97
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
@ 1.24
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
@ 1.14
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
@ 1.55
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.