How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is ASV Neumarkt, at 43.1%. The other outcomes represent 56.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.1% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 36.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: ASV Neumarkt 1430; Ingolstadt II 1492. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Bayern Nord · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:00
ASV Neumarkt
Elo 1430
vs
Ingolstadt II
Elo 1492
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-61
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
ASV Neumarkt1430
Ingolstadt II1492
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0ASV Neumarkt
0Draws
1Ingolstadt II
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
20%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
35%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.