How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Debrecen II, at 45.9%. The other outcomes represent 54.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.8% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 45.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tarpa 1520; Debrecen II 1653. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Northeast · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:00
Tarpa
Elo 1520
vs
Debrecen II
Elo 1653
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-133
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Tarpa1520
Debrecen II1653
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tarpa
2Draws
0Debrecen II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
25%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
35%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.