How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paksi SE II, at 57.9%. The other outcomes represent 42.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.9% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 21.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Paksi SE II 1476; Szekszárd 1365. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Southwest · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:00
Paksi SE II
Elo 1476
vs
Szekszárd
Elo 1365
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+111
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Paksi SE II1476
Szekszárd1365
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Paksi SE II
0Draws
6Szekszárd
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
58%
Draw
21%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
33%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.