How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paro, at 80.1%. The other outcomes represent 19.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 80.1% · Draw: 12% · Away win: 7.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Paro 1902; Bhutan U19 1496. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:00
Paro
Elo 1902
vs
Bhutan U19
Elo 1496
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+406
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Paro1902
Bhutan U191496
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Paro
0Draws
0Bhutan U19
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
Home
80%
Draw
12%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
94% conf.
Yes
6%
No
94%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Half-Time Result
67% conf.
Home
67%
Draw
24%
Away
9%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.