How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Arna-Bjørnar W, at 64.0%. The other outcomes represent 36.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64% · Draw: 20.1% · Away win: 15.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Arna-Bjørnar W 1573; Grei W 1416. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division Women · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:30
Arna-Bjørnar W
Elo 1573
vs
Grei W
Elo 1416
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+157
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Arna-Bjørnar W1573
Grei W1416
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Arna-Bjørnar W
0Draws
0Grei W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
64%
Draw
20%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
56% conf.
Home
56%
Draw
31%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.