How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Espanyol W, at 52.2%. The other outcomes represent 47.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.2% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 26.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Espanyol W 1469; Deportivo Alavés 1428. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División Femenina · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 10:00
Espanyol W
Elo 1469
1
-
0
Deportivo Alavés
Elo 1428
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+41
Elo rating comparison
Espanyol W1469
Deportivo Alavés1428
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Espanyol W
—Draws
—Deportivo Alavés
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
41%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.