How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Akademia Piłkarska LG W, at 43.6%. The other outcomes represent 56.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.6% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 32.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Akademia Piłkarska LG W 1452; Lech Poznan W 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ekstraliga Women · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Akademia Piłkarska LG W
Elo 1452
3
-
1
Lech Poznan W
Elo 1469
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-18
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Akademia Piłkarska LG W1452
Lech Poznan W1469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Akademia Piłkarska LG W
0Draws
0Lech Poznan W
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
39%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.