How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FSV Frankfurt U19, at 45.7%. The other outcomes represent 54.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.7% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 33.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FSV Frankfurt U19 1365; Fortuna Köln U19 1352. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 10:00
FSV Frankfurt U19
Elo 1365
1
-
1
Fortuna Köln U19
Elo 1352
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+13
H2H (7)
0H
4D
3A
Elo rating comparison
FSV Frankfurt U191365
Fortuna Köln U191352
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FSV Frankfurt U19
4Draws
3Fortuna Köln U19
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
21%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
39%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.