How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Asker, at 71.0%. The other outcomes represent 29.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.3% · Draw: 12.7% · Away win: 71%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SF Grei 1339; Asker 1699. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
SF Grei
Elo 1339
4
-
3
Asker
Elo 1699
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-360
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
SF Grei1339
Asker1699
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0SF Grei
0Draws
2Asker
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
WRONG
Home
16%
Draw
13%
Away
71%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
16%
Draw
27%
Away
57%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.