How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Volda, at 76.3%. The other outcomes represent 23.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 76.3% · Draw: 12.5% · Away win: 11.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Volda 1610; Orkla 1299. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Volda
Elo 1610
4
-
1
Orkla
Elo 1299
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+311
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Volda1610
Orkla1299
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Volda
0Draws
0Orkla
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
Draw
13%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
56%
Draw
34%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
92%
No
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.