How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Husqvarna, at 79.8%. The other outcomes represent 20.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 79.8% · Draw: 12.4% · Away win: 7.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Husqvarna 1724; Vänersborgs IF 1302. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Husqvarna
Elo 1724
4
-
0
Vänersborgs IF
Elo 1302
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+422
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Husqvarna1724
Vänersborgs IF1302
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Husqvarna
0Draws
0Vänersborgs IF
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
CORRECT
Home
80%
Draw
12%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Half-Time Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
28%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.