How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rågsved, at 57.8%. The other outcomes represent 42.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.5% · Draw: 16.7% · Away win: 57.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Eker Örebro 1317; Rågsved 1589. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Eker Örebro
Elo 1317
1
-
3
Rågsved
Elo 1589
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-271
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Eker Örebro1317
Rågsved1589
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Eker Örebro
0Draws
2Rågsved
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
39%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.