How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Goczałkowice Zdrój, at 43.2%. The other outcomes represent 56.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.2% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 29.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Goczałkowice Zdrój 1514; ROW Rybnik 1436. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Elo 1514
0
-
1
ROW Rybnik
Elo 1436
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+78
Elo rating comparison
Goczałkowice Zdrój1514
ROW Rybnik1436
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Goczałkowice Zdrój
—Draws
—ROW Rybnik
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
27%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
33%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.