How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Midtjylland W, at 41.4%. The other outcomes represent 58.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.5% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 41.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: ASA Aarhus W 1537; Midtjylland W 1583. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Kvindeliga · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
ASA Aarhus W
Elo 1537
1
-
0
Midtjylland W
Elo 1583
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-46
H2H (6)
0H
2D
4A
Elo rating comparison
ASA Aarhus W1537
Midtjylland W1583
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0ASA Aarhus W
2Draws
4Midtjylland W
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
36%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.