How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nordsjælland, at 39.1%. The other outcomes represent 60.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.1% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 37.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nordsjælland 1756; Køge 1884. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Kvindeliga · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Nordsjælland
Elo 1756
vs
Køge
Elo 1884
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-128
H2H (6)
4H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nordsjælland1756
Køge1884
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Nordsjælland
2Draws
0Køge
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
23%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
42%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.