How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Király SZE, at 51.1%. The other outcomes represent 48.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.1% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Király SZE 1385; Balatonalmádi 1419. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Northwest · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Király SZE
Elo 1385
2
-
2
Balatonalmádi
Elo 1419
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-33
Elo rating comparison
Király SZE1385
Balatonalmádi1419
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Király SZE
—Draws
—Balatonalmádi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
20%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
34%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.