How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gyori ETO II, at 48.0%. The other outcomes represent 52.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.1% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 48%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pápai Perutz 1401; Gyori ETO II 1521. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Northwest · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Pápai Perutz
Elo 1401
2
-
1
Gyori ETO II
Elo 1521
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-120
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Pápai Perutz1401
Gyori ETO II1521
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Pápai Perutz
0Draws
0Gyori ETO II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
21%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
38%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.