How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tatabánya, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 44.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Komárom 1670; Tatabánya 1748. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Northwest · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Komárom
Elo 1670
0
-
2
Tatabánya
Elo 1748
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-78
Elo rating comparison
Komárom1670
Tatabánya1748
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Komárom
—Draws
—Tatabánya
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
20%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
36%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.