How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ferencváros II, at 51.8%. The other outcomes represent 48.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.8% · Draw: 19.9% · Away win: 28.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ferencváros II 1712; MTK Budapest II 1663. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Southwest · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Ferencváros II
Elo 1712
2
-
0
MTK Budapest II
Elo 1663
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+48
Elo rating comparison
Ferencváros II1712
MTK Budapest II1663
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ferencváros II
—Draws
—MTK Budapest II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
20%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
36%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.