How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Magdeburg U19, at 49.3%. The other outcomes represent 50.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.2% · Draw: 19.5% · Away win: 49.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BAK 07 U19 1414; Magdeburg U19 1587. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
BAK 07 U19
Elo 1414
1
-
3
Magdeburg U19
Elo 1587
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-173
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
BAK 07 U191414
Magdeburg U191587
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0BAK 07 U19
0Draws
4Magdeburg U19
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
20%
Away
49%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
38%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.