How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is St. Pauli U19, at 58.3%. The other outcomes represent 41.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.3% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 23.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: St. Pauli U19 1612; Hansa Rostock U19 1357. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:30
St. Pauli U19
Elo 1612
3
-
2
Hansa Rostock U19
Elo 1357
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+255
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
St. Pauli U191612
Hansa Rostock U191357
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0St. Pauli U19
4Draws
0Hansa Rostock U19
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
Draw
18%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
36%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.