How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Heeslinger SC, at 56.5%. The other outcomes represent 43.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.3% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 56.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Verden 04 1476; Heeslinger SC 1684. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Niedersachsen · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:30
Verden 04
Elo 1476
4
-
1
Heeslinger SC
Elo 1684
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-208
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Verden 041476
Heeslinger SC1684
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Verden 04
0Draws
0Heeslinger SC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
18%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
35%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.