How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Grorud, at 57.8%. The other outcomes represent 42.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.8% · Draw: 19.5% · Away win: 22.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Grorud 1824; Lørenskog 1669. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Division - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Grorud
Elo 1824
4
-
0
Lørenskog
Elo 1669
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+155
H2H (4)
2H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Grorud1824
Lørenskog1669
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Grorud
0Draws
2Lørenskog
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
Draw
19%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
37%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.