How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Strindheim, at 47.4%. The other outcomes represent 52.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.5% · Draw: 19% · Away win: 47.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nardo 1499; Strindheim 1594. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Nardo
Elo 1499
0
-
1
Strindheim
Elo 1594
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-95
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Nardo1499
Strindheim1594
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Nardo
0Draws
2Strindheim
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
Draw
19%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
42%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.