How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lillehammer, at 71.6%. The other outcomes represent 28.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.6% · Draw: 12.5% · Away win: 15.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lillehammer 1655; Oppsal 1485. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 6 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Lillehammer
Elo 1655
4
-
2
Oppsal
Elo 1485
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+170
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lillehammer1655
Oppsal1485
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Lillehammer
0Draws
0Oppsal
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
CORRECT
Home
72%
Draw
12%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
31%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.